You actually stand a good chance to draw. Typically 2-3 points are a sure thing but it is very possible for you to draw. Last year 65 tags were allotted to random first choice applicants. Only two tags went to max point applicants and 585 tags were allotted to the preference quota.
Here is how it works:
Under a Modified Preference Point System drawing, tag quotas for each hunt are split into two portions: one portion awarded by preference point drawings; the other portion awarded in Draw-By-Choice drawings. Quota splits vary, depending on the species, total number of available tags, and other special criteria (such as those for Apprentice Hunts).
• The DFG may run the drawing within 10 business days of the application deadline.
• After the application deadline, when all applicant information has been verified, the computer assigns each person (or party) a unique random number. Hunters who apply as a party receive the same random number as the party leader.
• The preference point value for party applications entered in the Big Game Drawing is determined by averaging all party members’ deer preference points (total preference points of the party divided by the number of party members). Preference point averages are not rounded up or down (T14-708.14(e))
• Just prior to the drawing, the computer sorts all applications according to first tag choice, preference point totals, and random number.
• The computer begins awarding first tag choices to applicants with the most preference points, in random number order (starting with the lowest random number to the highest random number).
• Party applications are not split to meet the tag quota if the number of party members exceeds the number of available tags (T14-708.15(a)(2)). Therefore, when there are fewer tags available than the number of members in a party, the computer bypasses the party and draws the applicant with the next lowest random number to fill the tag quota.
• After the preference point round is completed, unsuccessful applications are resorted by hunt choice and random number order (starting with the lowest random number to the highest random number), and the computer begins awarding tags based on applicant’s first-choice without consideration of accumulated preference points, until all draw-by-choice tag quotas fill or until all applications have been processed.
• All remaining unsuccessful applications are then sorted by second tag choice, in random number order (starting with the lowest random number to the highest random
How does the drawing work? number) and the computer conducts a second round of drawings for any zones and hunts with tags remaining without consideration of accumulated preference points.
• If tags remain after second tag choices have been processed, applications are sorted once again by third tag choice, in random number order (starting with the lowest random number to the highest random number), and any remaining tags are awarded without consideration of accumulated points.
• For applications not drawn in the third round hunters will be notified of available tags so they may reapply.
Please go to the SCH main site and on the right side - click on the 2012 California Big Game Hunting PDF. Download the PDF (it has all of the big game rules and regulations)
http://southerncaliforniahunting.com
Hope this helps Jose.