Steve, I know he did a lot of good things. But, no matter what you and I feel about him, when the storming of the capitol happened, the majority of moderate individuals were turned off by that, and have no desire to see it happen again. Whether or not you believe he "incited a riot" or not, it doesn't matter. Your vote for him is locked up. But those who were on the fence, who he needs in order to have any chance, have fallen off that fence into the other yard. I am talking about simple voting dynamics. He lost those that he needs to win. He doesn't need his base, he is going to get them anyway. He needs the middle, and he lost most of that.